Indonesia’s Maritime Economy Enters 2026 With Growth Ambitions, but Security Still Shapes the Trade Outlook
13 Mar 2026
Indonesia’s maritime sector is entering 2026 with growing economic significance as the government seeks to strengthen logistics networks, expand the blue economy, and position the country as a regional maritime hub. For an archipelago of more than 17,000 islands located along some of the world’s busiest shipping routes, maritime activity plays a central role in domestic distribution, international trade, and regional connectivity.
According to The Ministry of Transportation, the maritime sector contributes around 7 percent of Indonesia’s GDP in 2025. Meanwhile. The Indonesian Chamber of Commerce (KADIN) identified shipping as one of the country’s main economic arteries. At of the end of 2025, Indonesia’s transportation sector contributed 6.16 percent to GDP and grew 8.78 percent year on year, with shipping recording the strongest growth within the sector at 10.19 percent, according to Statistics Indonesia. Employment is also significant: the broader transportation sector employed around 6.3 million people as of August 2025, or 4.28 percent of the national workforce.
That momentum is feeding into a broader 2026 maritime agenda. Indonesia and the World Economic Forum are due to hold the inaugural Ocean Impact Summit in Bali on 8-9 June 2026, with the government presenting the event as a vehicle to attract investment, private-sector partnerships, and financing for the blue economy. Officials have framed the summit as part of a wider effort to shift the maritime narrative beyond conservation alone toward economic utilization, including fisheries, marine biotechnology, seaweed-based products, and coastal industry development.
Key Maritime Indicators: Indonesia
|
Indicator |
Latest figure |
Source |
|
Maritime sector contribution to GDP |
~7% |
Ministry of Transportation |
|
Transportation sector share of GDP (2025) |
6.16% |
BPS |
|
Transportation sector growth (2025) |
8.78% |
BPS |
|
Shipping sector growth (2025) |
10.25% |
BPS |
|
Employment in transportation sector |
6.3 million |
BPS |
|
Indonesia national-flag fleet |
12,602 ships |
UNCTAD |
|
Fleet carrying capacity |
32.7 million DWT |
UNCTAD |
|
Port calls in Indonesia (2023) |
200,497 |
UNCTAD |
|
Transport services trade (2024) |
USD 96.5 billion |
UNCTAD |
|
Maritime security index |
60 |
Bakamla |
|
Estimated investment unlocked per index point |
IDR 109.7 trillion |
Bakamla |
The scale behind those figures helps explain why maritime policy in 2026 is increasingly being treated as both an economic and strategic matter. UNCTAD’s maritime profile for Indonesia shows 200,497 port calls in 2023, a national-flag fleet of 12,602 ships in 2024, and total transport services trade of USD 96.5 billion in 2024. The same profile shows Indonesia’s national fleet carrying capacity at 32.7 million deadweight tons and transport services exports rising 27.6 percent in 2024. These figures point to a maritime system that is already large in operational terms, even before current policy efforts to raise efficiency and attract fresh capital.
The logistics side is also expanding, though some of the more widely circulated projections come from commercial market research rather than official statistics. One 2026 industry estimate places Indonesia’s freight and logistics market at USD 139.35 billion in 2026, rising to USD 188.38 billion by 2031, supported by e-commerce demand, toll-road expansion, port upgrades, and digital logistics platforms. That estimate should be treated as directional rather than official, but it aligns with the government’s broader emphasis on connectivity and logistics modernization. The World Customs Organization, in a 2024 article by Indonesia’s Customs Administration, also described high logistics costs as a structural disadvantage of archipelagic geography and presented the National Logistics Ecosystem as a response aimed at streamlining trade processes across institutions.
Economy First, but Security Comes at a Very Close Second
For 2026, the maritime outlook leans more clearly toward economy than defense procurement, but security remains embedded in the commercial picture. The Indonesian Maritime Security Agency (Bakamla) said in January that Indonesia’s Maritime Security Index (IKL), a metric developed by the agency to assess maritime safety and enforcement capacity across Indonesian waters, stood at 60 out of 100. Bakamla said each one-point increase could correspond to IDR 109.7 trillion in potential investment, linking stronger patrols, inter-agency coordination, and cooperation with foreign coast guards to investor confidence in the blue economy. The agency also said annual improvements of around three points have been recorded in recent years and confirmed that a new patrol vessel funded through a Japanese grant is expected in 2027.
That connection between economy and security is not abstract. Indonesia sits astride some of the world’s most important shipping lanes, including the Strait of Malacca and adjacent sea routes that link the Indian and Pacific Oceans. UNCTAD data and maritime industry analysis continue to show how maritime connectivity, port efficiency, and vessel turnaround affect trade competitiveness, while regional security monitoring underscores that risk has not disappeared from Asian waters. The 2024 Annual Report of the Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy and Armed Robbery Against Ships in Asia (ReCAAP) recorded 107 incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships in Asia during 2024, up from 101 incidents in 2023, even though the Straits of Malacca and Singapore saw a slight decline from 63 to 62 incidents.
As Indonesia advances its maritime agenda, the sector is increasingly viewed as both an economic driver and a strategic domain. Initiatives ranging from logistics reform and port modernization to maritime security cooperation illustrate the government’s attempt to address both dimensions simultaneously. In a country defined by its geography, the effectiveness of these efforts will play a significant role in determining how Indonesia positions itself within the evolving maritime economy of the Indo-Pacific.